H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Storm Surge ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has reinforced decently because Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less specific. Tammy was at first anticipated to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) became a big and incredibly powerful typhoon that triggered huge damage and significant death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as large areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have actually now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means cyclone conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy should spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is anticipated to be a little weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a hurricane that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has activated typhoon cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to cyclone expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane specialists previously alerted typhoons could form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe threats and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy